MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 03:35:28| >> :600:3572202:3572202:
Wales national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Turkey national football team

Wales
1 - 1
Turkey

Williams (7')
Johnson (22'), Davies (69'), Roberts (90+5'), Ward (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yazici (70' pen.)
Yazici (53'), Celik (72'), Akturkoglu (82'), Ozcan (89'), Bayindir (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Wales are forced to settle for a place in the Euro 2024 playoffs after being held to a 1-1 draw with Turkey, as well as Croatia beating Armenia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Wales and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Armenia 1-1 Wales
Saturday, November 18 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey7716
2Croatia7813
3Wales7011
4Armenia7-18
5Latvia8-143
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Germany 2-3 Turkey
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey7716
2Croatia7813
3Wales7011
4Armenia7-18
5Latvia8-143

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
WalesDrawTurkey
45.18% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 24.63% (-0.105 -0.11) 30.18% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 57.01% (0.425 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.24% (0.525 0.52)45.76% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.92% (0.499 0.5)68.08% (-0.50099999999999 -0.5)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (0.20700000000001 0.21)20.34% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.26% (0.331 0.33)52.74% (-0.335 -0.34)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (0.345 0.34)28.43% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81% (0.433 0.43)64.19% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Wales 45.18%
    Turkey 30.18%
    Draw 24.63%
WalesDrawTurkey
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.057 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.18%

How you voted: Wales vs Turkey

Wales
25.3%
Draw
16.7%
Turkey
58.1%
186
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Turkey
2-0
Wales
Nayir (72'), Guler (80')
Celik (16'), Demiral (47'), Under (51'), Kahveci (75')

Roberts (58')
Morrell (41')
Jun 16, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
0-2
Wales

Yilmaz (90+2'), Calhanoglu (90+2')
Ramsey (42'), Roberts (90+5')
Davies (90+2'), Mepham (90+2')
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