MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 06:01:02| >> :600:3580936:3580936:
Armenia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2023 at 2pm UK
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
Wales national football team

Armenia
1 - 1
Wales

Zelarayan (5')
Haroyan (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tiknizyan (45+2' og.)
Mepham (32'), Ampadu (54'), James (78')

The Match

Match Report

Wales' fate regarding Euro 2024 qualification is no longer in their own hands after they can only earn a 1-1 draw with Armenia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Armenia and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: N. Macedonia 3-1 Armenia
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey7716
2Croatia6610
3Wales6010
4Armenia6-17
5Latvia7-123
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 2-1 Croatia
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey7716
2Croatia6610
3Wales6010
4Armenia6-17
5Latvia7-123

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for an Armenia win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
ArmeniaDrawWales
25.23% (0.594 0.59) 25.31% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 49.46% (-0.659 -0.66)
Both teams to score 51.11% (0.378 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (0.216 0.22)51.75% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (0.187 0.19)73.52% (-0.19099999999999 -0.19)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.66% (0.634 0.63)35.34% (-0.63699999999999 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.9% (0.654 0.65)72.1% (-0.658 -0.66)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)20.94% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (-0.3 -0.3)53.68% (0.297 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Armenia 25.23%
    Wales 49.45%
    Draw 25.3%
ArmeniaDrawWales
1-0 @ 7.7% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.26% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 4% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.17% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.23%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 11.57% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 49.45%

How you voted: Armenia vs Wales

Armenia
26.0%
Draw
13.5%
Wales
60.4%
96
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Wales
2-4
Armenia
James (10'), Wilson (72')
Mepham (70'), Williams (85')
Moore (78')
Zelarayan (19', 75'), Ranos (30', 66')
Ranos (67'), Tiknizyan (70'), Cancarevic (78'), Petrakov (80'), Mkrtchyan (84'), Briasco (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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