Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2023 at 2pm UK
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
Armenia1 - 1Wales
The Match
Match Report
Wales' fate regarding Euro 2024 qualification is no longer in their own hands after they can only earn a 1-1 draw with Armenia.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Armenia and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: N. Macedonia 3-1 Armenia
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for an Armenia win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Armenia | Draw | Wales |
25.23% ( 0.59) | 25.31% ( 0.06) | 49.46% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.24% ( 0.22) | 51.75% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.47% ( 0.19) | 73.52% ( -0.19) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% ( 0.63) | 35.34% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.9% ( 0.65) | 72.1% ( -0.66) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( -0.2) | 20.94% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.31% ( -0.3) | 53.68% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
Armenia 25.23%
Wales 49.45%
Draw 25.3%
| Armenia | Draw | Wales |
| 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.02% Total : 25.23% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.45% |
How you voted: Armenia vs Wales
Armenia
26.0%Draw
13.5%Wales
60.4%96
Head to Head
