MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:37:39| >> :600:3359933:3359933:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Poland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slaski
Moldova national football team

Poland
1 - 1
Moldova

Swiderski (53')
Frankowski (46')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nicolaescu (25')
Reabciuk (17'), Cojocaru (21'), Postolachi (42'), Marandici (45+4'), Platica (82'), Railean (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Poland and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-2 Poland
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Moldova

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 3-1 Moldova
Thursday, October 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Poland 2-0 Moldova

 Basking in the new manager bounce and also out for a slice of vengeance for events in the summer, the stage is set for Poland to finally break their loss-win streak with back-to-back Group E triumphs on Sunday. Moldova undoubtedly command respect given their unexpected feats in the section so far, but with their morale taking a hit in Sweden, repeating June's historic win over Poland at the hosts' Warsaw base is surely a step too far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
PolandDrawMoldova
53.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.03% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 41.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.1% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (0.0039999999999907 0)23.19% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (0.0049999999999955 0)57.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)45.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)81.57% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Poland 53.29%
    Moldova 20.03%
    Draw 26.67%
PolandDrawMoldova
1-0 @ 15.52%
2-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 53.29%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 8.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Poland vs Moldova

Poland
82.9%
Draw
12.9%
Moldova
4.3%
70
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Moldova
3-2
Poland
Nicolaescu (48', 79'), Baboglo (85')
Baboglo (51'), Nicolaescu (81'), Railean (90'), Reabciuk (90+2')
Milik (12'), Lewandowski (34')
> Preview
Jun 7, 2013 7.15pm
Qualifiers
Moldova
1-1
Poland
Sidorenco
Blaszczykowski
> Match Report
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