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[monks data]
Turkey national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 3, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Hungary national football team

Turkey
0 - 1
Hungary


Yilmaz (37'), Kahveci (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Szoboszlai (80')
Siger (45'), Fiola (59'), Lang (75')

Preview: Turkey vs. Hungary - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Turkey and Hungary, including team news and injury news.

Turkey and Hungary get their UEFA Nations League campaigns underway on Thursday evening aware that an opening defeat will leave them with an uphill task to earn promotion from Group B3.

Due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the international schedule, both teams will be playing their first game since November.


Match preview

Juventus and Turkey defender Merih Demiral pictured on international duty in November 2019© Reuters

Ahead of Euro 2020, Turkey would have had concerns that their efforts would be undermined by an injury to Merih Demiral and persistent speculation regarding key players.

However, the year-long delay in theory has benefitted Senol Gunes now that he has the Juventus centre-back at his disposal and several other stars more settled at their current clubs.

Gunes will now hope that Turkey are in a position to extend a run of form which has seen them record nine wins and three draws from their last 13 outings in all competitions.

Although the Crescent Stars were not facing stiff opposition in each of those games, they recorded four points from their double-header with France, an indication that this group can only improve further in the coming years.

Nevertheless, the same can be said of a Hungary side who would have been bitterly disappointed after squandering an opportunity to qualify for Euro 2020.

Midway through their schedule, they were the favourites to edge out the likes of Wales and Slovakia for the runners-up spot behind group favourites Croatia.

However, defeats to each of those nations saw the Magyars miss out by two points, leaving Marco Rossi to focus on an improved effort in this competition.

With no player in the current squad older than 32 years of age, there will be optimism that the likes of Dominik Szoboszlai and Willi Orban can use their big-match temperament to guide this side into a new era.

After edging out Greece for promotion during the 2018-19 campaign, Hungary are competing in section B for the first time.

Turkey form (all competitions): WWWDDW

Hungary form (all competitions): LLLWLL


Team News

Turkey's Cengiz Under celebrates scoring their second goal against France with teammates on June 8, 2019© Reuters

Gunes is unlikely to make many alterations from the side which recorded a 1-1 draw against Iceland in November.

With his stock rising at Trabzonspor, Ugurcan Cakir is pushing to become number one for his country ahead of Mert Gunok.

Veteran Burak Yilmaz will likely retain his spot down the middle of the attack, with Enes Unal having to make do with a spot among the replacements.

While Hungary will line up with many of their regulars, Rossi must also consider handing rare starts or debuts in several positions.

Krisztian Simon or Benjamin Babati are in contention for an outing on one of the flanks, as is uncapped Bendeguz Bolla who can be deployed in any position down the right.

Turkey possible starting lineup:
Gunok; Celik, Demiral, Soyuncu, Meras; Tekdemir, Yokuslu, Tufan; Under, Yilmaz, Calhanoglu

Hungary possible starting lineup:
Gulacsi; Bese, Lang, Orban, Fiola; Patkai, A.Nagy; Simon, Szoboszlai, Sallai; Szalai


SM words green background

We say: Turkey 2-1 Hungary

This has all the makings of a closely-fought contest. Although Hungary tend to be underdogs against the bigger nations, they possess players who can make an impact in any game. Nevertheless, we are backing Turkey to prevail by the odd goal in three on Thursday.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS

League A1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal642014
Q Croatia Croatia62228
3 Scotland flag Scotland62137
4 Poland Poland61144

League A2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q France France641113
Q Italy Italy641113
3 Belgium Belgium61144
4 Israel Israel61144

League A3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany642014
Q Netherlands Netherlands62319
3 Hungary Hungary61326
4 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina60242

League A4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain651016
Q Denmark Denmark62228
3 Serbia Serbia61326
4 Switzerland Switzerland60242

League B1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Czech Republic Czech Republic632111
2 Ukraine Ukraine62228
3 Georgia Georgia62137
4 Albania national flag Albania62137

League B2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England650115
2 Greece Greece650115
3 Ireland Rep. Ireland62046
4 Finland Finland60060

League B3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Norway Norway641113
2 Austria Austria632111
3 Slovenia Slovenia62228
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan60151

League B4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Wales flag Wales633012
2 Turkey Turkey632111
3 Iceland Iceland62137
4 Montenegro Montenegro61053

League C1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Sweden Sweden651016
2 Slovakia Slovakia641113
3 Estonia Estonia61144
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan60151

League C2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania550015
2 Kosovo flag Kosovo540112
3 Cyprus Cyprus62046
4 Lithuania Lithuania60060

League C3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland632111
2 Bulgaria Bulgaria62319
3 Belarus Belarus61417
4 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg60333

League C4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Macedonia N. Macedonia651016
2 Armenia Armenia62137
3 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands61326
4 Latvia Latvia61144

League D1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q San Marino flag San Marino42117
2 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar41306
3 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein40222

League D2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Republic of Moldova Moldova43019
2 Malta flag Malta42117
3 Andorra flag Andorra40131


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