Very few sides have managed to prevail against Coventry on their own turf in recent weeks, but similarly, Sunderland developed a penchant for away-day performances before being seen off by Rotherham.
A close contest should be on the cards between two sides who could still upset the playoff apple cart, and we expect the two top-six hopefuls to cancel each other out and take home a point apiece.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
-0.38) 
0.48) 
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