Stoke0 - 1Brighton
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
We said: Stoke City 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton have become a very entertaining outfit under De Zerbi's stewardship, and we expect the Seagulls to have too much attacking fluency for their Championship opponents on Tuesday. Indeed, the visitors had the weekend off due to their match against Newcastle United being rescheduled, so they should be far fresher than Stoke on the day. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
27.1% ( -0.05) | 23.93% ( 0) | 48.97% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.48% ( -0.05) | 44.52% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.11% ( -0.05) | 66.89% ( 0.05) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.01% ( -0.06) | 29.99% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.89% ( -0.07) | 66.11% ( 0.08) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( 0) | 18.28% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.65% | 49.35% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 27.1% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.97% |
How you voted: Stoke vs Brighton
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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