Stoke

0 - 1

Brighton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.