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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Watford logo

West Brom
2 - 2
Watford

Thomas-Asante (70'), Furlong (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kayembe (51'), Rajovic (66')
Dennis (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 West Brom
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Leeds
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Watford

West Brom have been renowned for their stellar home form this season, and we are expecting the Baggies to continue their Black Country form on Easter Monday. Watford went toe-to-toe with Premier League-bound Leeds at Vicarage Road on Good Friday, but we believe that a trip to The Hawthorns will yield no returns for Cleverley's troops. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawWatford
46.22% (0.109 0.11) 26.56% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 27.22% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (0.21299999999999 0.21)55.26% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (0.176 0.18)76.48% (-0.173 -0.17)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (0.146 0.15)23.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.208 0.21)58.07% (-0.204 -0.2)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (0.078000000000003 0.08)35.58% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (0.079999999999998 0.08)72.35% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 46.21%
    Watford 27.22%
    Draw 26.56%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 46.21%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 27.22%

How you voted: West Brom vs Watford

West Bromwich Albion
73.5%
Draw
12.2%
Watford
14.3%
49
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-2
West Brom
Ince (3'), Martins (23')
Porteous (53'), Louza (90+5')
Swift (14'), Wallace (17')
Molumby (26')
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Watford
3-2
West Brom
Sema (23', 78'), Sarr (66')
Townsend (56'), Wallace (71')
Aug 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
1-1
Watford
Grant (45+2')
Molumby (45'), Furlong (69')
Sarr (12')
Kabasele (74')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Watford
0-0
West Brom
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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