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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Bristol City

West Brom
2 - 0
Bristol City

Fellows (45'), Wallace (50')
Townsend (28'), Yokuslu (71'), Kipre (85'), Palmer (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Knight (45+1'), Knight (45'), Gardner-Hickman (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-4 West Brom
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Bristol City

West Brom have added attacking flair to their defensive stability since the turn of the calendar year and should be very confident of another home victory on Saturday. Bristol City are in the doldrums following a poor run of form and at risk of being swept aside at The Hawthorns as the Baggies chase down the Premier League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 49.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBristol City
49.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.5% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)74.14% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (0.025999999999996 0.03)54.3% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.45% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 49.2%
    Bristol City 25.29%
    Draw 25.5%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 49.2%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 25.29%

How you voted: West Brom vs Bristol City

West Bromwich Albion
84.5%
Draw
12.1%
Bristol City
3.4%
58
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol City
0-0
West Brom
Pring (39'), Tanner (54')
Phillips (30'), Molumby (67')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Bristol City
3-0
West Brom
Bell (12', 48'), Scott (28')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bristol City
2-2
West Brom
Wells (29'), Weimann (85')
Weimann (76')
Grant (68' pen.), Reach (90+3')
Livermore (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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