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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Norwich logo

Stoke
0 - 3
Norwich


Campbell (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sargent (24'), Sara (28'), Barnes (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Norwich City

Although there is a wide margin between these two sides in the table, Stoke's win last weekend goes some way to levelling the playing field. With that in mind, do not be surprised if a competitive low-scoring draw is played out, one that suits Stoke more than Norwich. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
44.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.26% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)48.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)70.57% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)21.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.0040000000000049 0)54.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.76% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.44%
    Norwich City 30.3%
    Draw 25.26%
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.3%

How you voted: Stoke vs Norwich

Stoke City
28.9%
Draw
26.3%
Norwich City
44.7%
38
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
1-0
Stoke
Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
3-1
Stoke
Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Powell (90+2')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
2-3
Norwich
Campbell (70'), Collins (79')
Batth (18'), Fletcher (28')
Buendia (18'), Pukki (27', 57')
Stiepermann (23'), Hanley (58'), Buendia (64')
Buendia (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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