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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
3 - 0
Tokyo Verdy

Hayashi (51' og.), Peixoto (61'), Furukawa (90+5')
Matsubara (45+2'), Kanuma (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matsuhashi (9'), Kimura (63'), Arai (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Tokyo Verdy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 22 at 10.30am in J1 League

We said: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy will be full of confidence after winning three of their previous four league games, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw when they face a Jubilo Iwata side that has lost just one of their last four top-flight home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.

Result
Jubilo IwataDrawTokyo Verdy
50.38% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.18% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.44% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 50.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)51.89% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.64% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)20.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.11% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)72.89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Jubilo Iwata 50.37%
    Tokyo Verdy 24.44%
    Draw 25.18%
Jubilo IwataDrawTokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.28% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.37%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Jubilo Iwata vs Tokyo Verdy

Jubilo Iwata
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Tokyo Verdy
25.0%
12
Head to Head
May 6, 2024 5am
Gameweek 12
Tokyo Verdy
3-2
Jubilo Iwata
Someno (35' pen.), Kimura (41', 90+9')
Miki (4'), Matsuhashi (64'), Yamami (76')
Peixoto (55'), Germain (66')
Nishikubo (58'), Furukawa (82'), Uemura (90+7'), Germain (90+13')
Graca (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bengals
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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