League One

League One | Gameweek 32

Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
2 - 1
Fleetwood

House (53'), Sorensen (57')
O'Connor (19'), House (45+2'), Erhahon (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Omochere (34')
Lawal (41'), Stockley (45+2')
Lawal (45+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Fleetwood Town

Lincoln's games tend to be low-scoring, with the Imps averaging slightly over one goal-per-game scored and exactly one goal-per-game against heading into this match. They have kept three straight clean sheets and will be confident after their win against Burton with 10 men. However, Fleetwood will also be buoyed after winning two successive games, and we can envisage the two sides playing out a low-scoring draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Fleetwood Town
39% ( -0.06)	26.65% ( 0.02)	34.35% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.85% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89% (

-0.06)

53.1% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.31% (

-0.05)

74.68% (

0.05)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4% (

-0.06)

26.6% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.17% (

-0.08)

61.83% (

0.07)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

-0)

29.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.67% (

-0)

65.33% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 38.99%

Fleetwood Town 34.35%

Draw 26.65%

Lincoln City	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.99%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.35%