Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.99%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.