Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for MK Dons in this match.