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Burton Albion
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
MK Dons

Burton Albion
1 - 2
MK Dons

O'Riley (67' og.)
Blake-Tracy (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bird (58'), Darling (63')
Jules (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Burton Albion and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawMK Dons
36.34%24.94%38.72%
Both teams to score 57.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6%45.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26%67.73%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49%24.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03%58.96%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75%23.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84%57.15%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 36.34%
    MK Dons 38.72%
    Draw 24.93%
Burton AlbionDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.22%
1-0 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 36.34%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-1 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.92%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 38.72%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs MK Dons

Burton Albion
64.9%
Draw
15.8%
MK Dons
19.3%
57
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Burton Albion
1-2
MK Dons
Akins (74' pen.)
Clare (41'), Carter (58'), Hemmings (68')
Fraser (15' pen.), O'Hora (61')
McEachran (57'), Harvie (90+3')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
MK Dons
1-1
Burton Albion
Fraser (73' pen.)
Daniel (8')
Quinn (67'), Wallace (75')
Jan 14, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Burton Albion
1-0
MK Dons
Boyce (20')
Boyce (57')

Walsh (55'), Gilbey (77')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
MK Dons
0-3
Burton Albion
Boyce (32', 91'), Sarkic (54')
rhs 2.0
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