Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.