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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bramall Lane
Stoke logo

Sheff Utd
3 - 1
Stoke

Ndiaye (9'), Bogle (33', 90')
Bogle (61'), Egan (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Powell (45+1')
Laurent (56'), Souttar (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sheffield United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sheffield United 2-0 Stoke City

Stoke find themselves in a tough run of form heading into a particularly tricky test away at one of the league's strongest sides, and even with the Blades lacking a number of key players, we can only anticipate them once again triumphing on home turf on Saturday, with Ndiaye in particular expected to cause problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawStoke City
58.69% (-0.061 -0.06) 22.72% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 18.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.26% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)48.49% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (-0.064 -0.06)70.61% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)16.2% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.32% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)45.68% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)40.03% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)76.68% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 58.68%
    Stoke City 18.6%
    Draw 22.71%
Sheffield UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 58.68%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.6%

How you voted: Sheff Utd vs Stoke

Sheffield United
86.4%
Draw
9.1%
Stoke City
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Stoke
3-1
Sheff Utd
Wilmot (4'), Jagielka (45+4'), Delap (90+1')
Fosu (62')
Brewster (28')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Sheff Utd
2-1
Stoke
Mousset (80'), McGoldrick (83')
Brown (55')
Smith (27'), Brown (56')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Stoke
2-2
Sheff Utd
Vokes (19'), Shawcross (69')
Woods (57')
Dowell (48'), Stevens (77')
Fleck (43')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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