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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bramall Lane
Stoke logo

Sheff Utd
3 - 1
Stoke

Ndiaye (9'), Bogle (33', 90')
Bogle (61'), Egan (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Powell (45+1')
Laurent (56'), Souttar (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sheffield United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sheffield United 2-0 Stoke City

Stoke find themselves in a tough run of form heading into a particularly tricky test away at one of the league's strongest sides, and even with the Blades lacking a number of key players, we can only anticipate them once again triumphing on home turf on Saturday, with Ndiaye in particular expected to cause problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawStoke City
58.69% (-0.061 -0.06) 22.72% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 18.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.26% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)48.49% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (-0.064 -0.06)70.61% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)16.2% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.32% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)45.68% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)40.03% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)76.68% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 58.68%
    Stoke City 18.6%
    Draw 22.71%
Sheffield UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 58.68%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.6%

How you voted: Sheff Utd vs Stoke

Sheffield United
Draw
Stoke City
Sheffield United
86.4%
Draw
9.1%
Stoke City
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Stoke
3-1
Sheff Utd
Wilmot (4'), Jagielka (45+4'), Delap (90+1')
Fosu (62')
Brewster (28')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Sheff Utd
2-1
Stoke
Mousset (80'), McGoldrick (83')
Brown (55')
Smith (27'), Brown (56')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Stoke
2-2
Sheff Utd
Vokes (19'), Shawcross (69')
Woods (57')
Dowell (48'), Stevens (77')
Fleck (43')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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