Derby

4 - 1

Wolves U21s

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 76.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 8.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.83%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.