League One

League One | Gameweek 32

Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
2 - 2
Stevenage

Vancooten (6' og.), Ojo (90+8' pen.)
Lowe (28'), Mighten (82'), Sang (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reid (52'), Vancooten (58')
Piergianni (33'), Forster-Caskey (36'), MacGillivray (90+3'), Butler (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Reading
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Stevenage

Despite being edged out by Reading in midweek, Stevenage will fancy their chances of claiming all three points after winning their last two away matches. We think that the visitors will ultimately prove too strong for a Port Vale side who have lost four of their previous five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Stevenage
28.97% ( 0.69)	25.74% ( 0.04)	45.3% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 52.68% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.91% (

0.21)

51.09% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.06% (

0.18)

72.94% (

-0.18)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.99% (

0.63)

32.01% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52% (

0.71)

68.48% (

-0.71)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

-0.25)

22.51% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92% (

-0.37)

56.08% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 28.97%

Stevenage 45.29%

Draw 25.74%

Port Vale	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.97%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.29%