League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Stevenage1 - 1Reading
We said: Stevenage 2-1 Reading
Stevenage come into Saturday on the back of consecutive home losses following a three-match winning streak on their turf, while Reading have struggled with away results. Given the history of just four away wins in League One since Selles took over in July 2023 (including last season's 1-0 triumph in the corresponding fixture), we back the hosts to secure a marginal success at the Royals' expense. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Reading |
46.7% ( 3.28) | 24.34% ( 0.38) | 28.95% ( -3.66) |
| Both teams to score 57.22% ( -3.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% ( -3.47) | 45.13% ( 3.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( -3.42) | 67.48% ( 3.42) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( -0.02) | 19.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.72% ( -0.02) | 51.28% ( 0.02) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( -4.08) | 28.96% ( 4.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.14% ( -5.36) | 64.85% ( 5.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Stevenage 46.7%
Reading 28.95%
Draw 24.34%
| Stevenage | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 1.3)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 1.06)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.58)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.7% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.48)0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.8)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.58) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.63)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.52)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.38)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.95% |
How you voted: Stevenage vs Reading
Stevenage
33.3%Draw
22.2%Reading
44.4%9
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Stevenage
0-1
Reading
Aug 9, 2022 8pm
Jan 16, 2018 8pm
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Form Guide
