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League One
Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Reading logo

Stevenage
1 - 1
Reading

Kemp (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knibbs (82')
Elliott (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Guiseley (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Reading
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Reading

 Stevenage come into Saturday on the back of consecutive home losses following a three-match winning streak on their turf, while Reading have struggled with away results. Given the history of just four away wins in League One since Selles took over in July 2023 (including last season's 1-0 triumph in the corresponding fixture), we back the hosts to secure a marginal success at the Royals' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawReading
46.7% (3.277 3.28) 24.34% (0.378 0.38) 28.95% (-3.657 -3.66)
Both teams to score 57.22% (-3.298 -3.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (-3.472 -3.47)45.13% (3.474 3.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (-3.42 -3.42)67.48% (3.421 3.42)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)19.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)51.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-4.08 -4.08)28.96% (4.08 4.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-5.357 -5.36)64.85% (5.358 5.36)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 46.7%
    Reading 28.95%
    Draw 24.34%
StevenageDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.332 0.33)
1-0 @ 9.22% (1.301 1.3)
2-0 @ 7.55% (1.063 1.06)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.178 0.18)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.579 0.58)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.264 -0.26)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.236 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.7%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.479 -0.48)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.797 0.8)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.283 -0.28)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.582 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.254 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.353 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.629 -0.63)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.515 -0.52)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.382 -0.38)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.329 -0.33)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.95%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Reading

Stevenage
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Reading
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Stevenage
0-1
Reading
Oliver (45' og.)
Savage (24'), Mola (39'), Knibbs (89'), Ehibhaimha (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Reading
2-0
Stevenage
Ehibhaimha (45+4', 57')

Thompson (5'), Reid (9'), MacDonald (26'), Neal (69')
Thompson (22')
Aug 9, 2022 8pm
First Round
Reading
1-2
Stevenage
Ehibhaimha (63')
Abretti (42'), Ehibhaimha (90+1')
Earley (10'), Rose (89')
Earley (38'), Campbell (58')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2018 8pm
Third Round Replays
Reading
3-0
Stevenage
Dadi Bodvarsson (32', 44', 64')

Newton (40')
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Stevenage
0-0
Reading
Newton (37'), Pett (93')
Richards (56'), Bacuna (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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