FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Stevenage1 - 1Guiseley
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Stevenage win 5-4 on penalties
We say: Stevenage 2-1 Guiseley
While Stevenage may make changes from the team that faced Bolton, it is difficult to see how Guiseley can take advantage given the calibre of their opponents. However, Guiseley have already won four FA Cup preliminary qualifying matches, and they could make Saturday's match a close affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 69.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 12.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Guiseley win it was 0-1 (3.73%).
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Guiseley |
69.7% ( -0.07) | 17.96% ( 0.04) | 12.34% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.2% ( -0.1) | 39.8% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.84% ( -0.1) | 62.16% ( 0.11) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.7% ( -0.04) | 10.3% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.3% ( -0.1) | 33.7% ( 0.11) |
| Guiseley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.88% ( -0.01) | 43.12% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.61% ( -0.01) | 79.4% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Stevenage 69.69%
Guiseley 12.34%
Draw 17.96%
| Stevenage | Draw | Guiseley |
| 2-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.41% Total : 69.69% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 17.96% | 0-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.14% 1-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.33% Total : 12.34% |
How you voted: Stevenage vs Guiseley
Stevenage
60.0%Draw
10.0%Guiseley
30.0%10
Form Guide
