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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
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Fleetwood Town

Reading
2 - 0
Fleetwood

Bindon (48'), Potter (86' og.)
Rushesha (6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Reading and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 4-1 Reading
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Reading 2-0 Fleetwood Town

 Having scored first in five of their last six outings, Reading will expect to make a fast start against Fleetwood, who have been off-colour of late. The hosts may be short of numbers, but there is still sufficient quality in their squad to ensure safe passage through to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Reading in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Reading.

Result
ReadingDrawFleetwood Town
43.42% (0.175 0.18) 24.33% (-0.064 -0.06) 32.26% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Both teams to score 59.1% (0.184 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54% (0.264 0.26)43.46% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (0.258 0.26)65.86% (-0.25500000000001 -0.26)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (0.187 0.19)20.17% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (0.298 0.3)52.46% (-0.296 -0.3)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (0.061000000000007 0.06)25.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (0.079000000000001 0.08)60.98% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Reading 43.42%
    Fleetwood Town 32.26%
    Draw 24.32%
ReadingDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Reading vs Fleetwood

Reading
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Fleetwood Town
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
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> Preview
Oct 24, 2023 8pm
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