League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale3 - 1Fleetwood
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Fleetwood Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Barrow
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
46.56% ( 0.22) | 25.19% ( 0.02) | 28.24% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.24) | 49.21% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -0.22) | 71.28% ( 0.21) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( -0) | 21.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.98% ( -0) | 54.01% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% ( -0.31) | 31.58% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.02% ( -0.35) | 67.98% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
Port Vale 46.56%
Fleetwood Town 28.24%
Draw 25.19%
| Port Vale | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.56% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.24% |
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
