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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
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Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
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Gillingham
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Port Vale

MK Dons
0 - 1
Port Vale


Maguire (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hackford (77')
Debrah (36'), Richards (89'), Stockley (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-2 Port Vale

Both teams will be confident of victory in this contest, particularly Vale who appear to be growing in confidence under Moore. However, we feel that an entertaining draw will play out, a result that would not necessarily suit either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawPort Vale
42.84% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 24.71% (0.023 0.02) 32.45% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.84% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)45.15% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)67.5% (0.074999999999989 0.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)21.14% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (-0.117 -0.12)53.99% (0.116 0.12)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.66% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)61.9% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 42.84%
    Port Vale 32.45%
    Draw 24.7%
MK DonsDrawPort Vale
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 42.84%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.45%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Port Vale

MK Dons
31.8%
Draw
27.3%
Port Vale
40.9%
44
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Port Vale
1-0
MK Dons
A (22')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
MK Dons
2-1
Port Vale
Johnson (34', 85')
Tucker (90+2')
Harrison (90+3')
Harrison (53')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
MK Dons
0-1
Port Vale
Worrall (20')
Joyce (71')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
MK Dons
1-1
Port Vale
Wheeler (52')
Conlon (48')
Crookes (49'), Conlon (51'), Brown (98')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Port Vale
0-2
MK Dons

Smith (45'), Pope (57'), Conlon (86')
Aneke (23'), Agard (31')
Gilbey (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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