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League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
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Burton Albion

Reading
3 - 1
Burton Albion

Campbell (23', 42'), Smith (82')
Ehibhaimha (50'), Savage (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orsi (84')
Willis (41'), Watt (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-0 Burton Albion

Reading have some momentum courtesy of their last triumph and will back themselves to see off the threat of a struggling Burton side. We fully expect the home side to collect maximum points in front of their fans for the second game running. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawBurton Albion
47.14% (-3.87 -3.87) 24.63% (0.454 0.45) 28.23% (3.419 3.42)
Both teams to score 55.76% (1.531 1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (0.62 0.62)46.83% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (0.577 0.58)69.08% (-0.57300000000001 -0.57)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (-1.325 -1.33)19.94% (1.329 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (-2.183 -2.18)52.09% (2.187 2.19)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (3.018 3.02)30.35% (-3.014 -3.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (3.452 3.45)66.54% (-3.448 -3.45)
Score Analysis
    Reading 47.14%
    Burton Albion 28.23%
    Draw 24.63%
ReadingDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.683 -0.68)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.91 -0.91)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.691 -0.69)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.363 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.305 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.399 0.4)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.647 0.65)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.561 0.56)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.455 0.46)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.288 0.29)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.341 0.34)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Reading vs Burton Albion

Reading
72.7%
Draw
15.2%
Burton Albion
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Burton Albion
3-2
Reading
Bennett (5'), Carayol (11'), Kamwa (42')
Bennett (75'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')
Wing (34'), Smith (59' pen.)
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Reading
0-0
Burton Albion
McIntyre (44')
Baah (45+12'), Hamer (50'), Seddon (66'), Powell (90+2')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-3
Reading
Akins (51' pen.)
Turner (29'), Buxton (38'), McFadzean (86')
Dadi Bodvarsson (20', 68'), Gunter (57')
Moore (27'), Dadi Bodvarsson (68'), Ilori (71')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
May 7, 2017 12pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Reading
Turner (69'), Woodrow (72')
Irvine (77')
Mendes (3'), Obita (21'), Kermorgant (64'), Grabban (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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