We said: Sheffield United 1-0 Luton Town
While Luton Town certainly competed better in the Premier League than Saturday's hosts last time around, it is Sheffield United who have quickly taken to life back in the Championship.
With momentum on their side and home advantage for an important contest, we see the Blades extending their unbeaten start and eye-catching defensive record at the weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.