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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Watford |
27.94% ( -0.25) | 24.21% ( -0.59) | 47.85% ( 0.84) |
Both teams to score 56.94% ( 1.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.82% ( 2.42) | 45.18% ( -2.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.48% ( 2.28) | 67.52% ( -2.27) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.29% ( 1.06) | 29.71% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.23% ( 1.27) | 65.77% ( -1.27) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.01% ( 1.32) | 18.99% ( -1.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.47% ( 2.14) | 50.53% ( -2.14) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Watford |
2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 27.94% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.61) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.24% Total : 47.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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