We said: Sheffield United 2-1 Watford
Sheffield United, despite winning just one of their first three matches, are one of the deadliest sides in the Championship this season and will fancy their chances of picking up a win at Bramall Lane on Sunday.
Victorious in all of their competitive matches so far, Watford are in a good vein of form, but we believe that positive spell will end in Yorkshire this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.