Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 6

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Easter Road

Hibernian
1 - 0
Kilmarnock

Newell (12')
Boyle (74'), Porteous (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Power (18'), Lafferty (77'), McKenzie (90+1')
Taylor (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

Last Six:

Last Game: St Mirren 1-0 Hibernian
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Livingston	5	-5	6
8	Hibernian	5	-1	5
9	Kilmarnock	5	-7	4

Kilmarnock

Last Six:

Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Hibernian	5	-1	5
9	Kilmarnock	5	-7	4
10	St Johnstone	5	-6	3

We said: Hibernian 1-1 Kilmarnock

Although Kilmarnock have struggled at Easter Road in recent visits, they will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points against an out of-sorts Hibs outfit this weekend. However, we feel that the hosts will have enough quality in their side to claim at least a point, even though they have a number of players on the sidelines. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match.

Result
Hibernian	Draw	Kilmarnock
42.87% ( 0.24)	27.62% ( -0.35)	29.51% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 47.35% (

1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.91% (

1.26)

58.09% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.24% (

0.98)

78.76% (

-0.98)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

0.72)

26.82% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88% (

0.94)

62.12% (

-0.94)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.71% (

0.76)

35.29% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.95% (

0.78)

72.04% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Hibernian 42.86%

Kilmarnock 29.51%

Draw 27.62%

Hibernian	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.86%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.62%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.08% Total : 29.51%