Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
45.21% ( -0.98) | 24.17% ( 0.05) | 30.62% ( 0.93) |
Both teams to score 58.84% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.54% ( 0.26) | 43.46% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.14% ( 0.26) | 65.86% ( -0.26) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( -0.31) | 19.4% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.79% ( -0.5) | 51.21% ( 0.5) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( 0.75) | 27% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( 0.97) | 62.35% ( -0.98) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |