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Scottish Premiership
St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

St Mirren
2 - 2
Kilmarnock

Olusanya (7'), O'Hara (41' pen.)
Mandron (16'), Taylor (47')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Watkins (11'), Ayunga (71' og.)
Ndaba (21'), Polworth (65'), Watson (90+1')
Wright (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-1 Kilmarnock

 Although Kilmarnock have made a poor start to their campaign, their three wins out of four against St Mirren last season could count for something, along with the fact that the home side are also looking for their first win over Killie in 10 games. That being said, it would be a surprise if the away side were to leave St Mirren with all three points in the bag, so a draw could be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
41.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.11% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.17% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)54.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.86% (0.012999999999998 0.01)76.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (0.022000000000006 0.02)32.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (0.026 0.03)68.91% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 41.98%
    Kilmarnock 31.11%
    Draw 26.9%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 41.98%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.11%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Kilmarnock

St Mirren
53.3%
Draw
20.0%
Kilmarnock
26.7%
15
Head to Head
May 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock
Vassell (37')
Armstrong (70'), Dennis (85')
> Preview
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
5-2
St Mirren
Vassell (61', 73'), Armstrong (65' pen.), Watkins (68'), Watson (79')
Donnelly (63'), Kennedy (75'), Watson (86')
Dunne (20'), Mandron (39')
O'Hara (59')
> Preview
Dec 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock

Taylor (33'), Gogic (59'), Baccus (88')
Watkins (25')
Findlay (74'), Deas (86')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Kilmarnock
1-1
St Mirren
Lyons (19')
Cameron (45'), Watson (90+4')
Magennis (31' og.)
Baccus (55'), Strain (72'), Olusanya (85')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
St Mirren
0-2
Kilmarnock
Donnelly (18'), Doidge (35')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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