Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
46.9% ( 0.05) | 25.85% ( -0) | 27.25% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 51.17% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.5% ( -0.03) | 52.5% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.83% ( -0.03) | 74.17% ( 0.03) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.62% ( 0.01) | 22.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.12% ( 0.02) | 55.87% ( -0.02) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.92% ( -0.06) | 34.07% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.24% ( -0.07) | 70.76% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.89% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |