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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
St Mirren logo

Kilmarnock
5 - 2
St Mirren

Vassell (61', 73'), Armstrong (65' pen.), Watkins (68'), Watson (79')
Donnelly (63'), Kennedy (75'), Watson (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dunne (20'), Mandron (39')
O'Hara (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 2-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 St Mirren

Each team desperately needs points in a bid to try and continue their fight for a European position and that could lead to a cautious match. Because of that, it would not be a surprise to see them battle out a draw and ultimately share the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
46.9% (0.055 0.05) 25.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 27.25% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.17% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.5% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)52.5% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.83% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)74.17% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.010000000000005 0.01)22.37% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (0.015999999999998 0.02)55.87% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)34.07% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.067 -0.07)70.76% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 46.89%
    St Mirren 27.25%
    Draw 25.84%
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.89%
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs St Mirren

Kilmarnock
47.1%
Draw
17.6%
St Mirren
35.3%
17
Head to Head
Dec 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock

Taylor (33'), Gogic (59'), Baccus (88')
Watkins (25')
Findlay (74'), Deas (86')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Kilmarnock
1-1
St Mirren
Lyons (19')
Cameron (45'), Watson (90+4')
Magennis (31' og.)
Baccus (55'), Strain (72'), Olusanya (85')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
St Mirren
0-2
Kilmarnock
Donnelly (18'), Doidge (35')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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