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Scottish Premiership
St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Aberdeen logo

St Mirren
2 - 1
Aberdeen

O'Hara (90+6' pen.), Olusanya (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barron (1')
Miovski (45'), McGarry (71'), Shinnie (87'), Devlin (90+4'), MacDonald (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-1 St Mirren
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-2 St Johnstone
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 2-0 Aberdeen

 Aberdeen have been struggling to score as of late and that is something that could cause them problems on the road this weekend. St Mirren will want to keep pushing for a place in the top four and the quality of the squad, combined with their momentum, should lead to them taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
42.48% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 26.63% (-0.026 -0.03) 30.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (0.097999999999999 0.1)53.87% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (0.082000000000001 0.08)75.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (0.055999999999997 0.06)25.1% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2% (0.078000000000003 0.08)59.79% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94% (0.049000000000007 0.05)32.06% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47% (0.056000000000001 0.06)68.53% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 42.48%
    Aberdeen 30.88%
    Draw 26.63%
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.48%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 30.88%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Aberdeen

St Mirren
55.6%
Draw
16.7%
Aberdeen
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Aberdeen
0-3
St Mirren

Devlin (25')
O'Hara (12'), Ayunga (78'), Kiltie (90+3' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
St Mirren
2-2
Aberdeen
Kiltie (59' pen.), Greive (76')
Strain (34'), Robinson (35'), Hemming (90+12')
Hayes (42'), Miovski (90+10' pen.)
Lopes (71'), Rubezic (88')
> Preview
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Aberdeen
3-0
St Mirren
Clarkson (14'), Shinnie (43', 49')

Gogic (59')
Small (30')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Aberdeen
1-3
St Mirren
Miovski (74' pen.)
Main (57', 81'), Gallagher (90')
> Preview
Dec 24, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
St Mirren
3-1
Aberdeen
Roos (38' og.), O'Hara (53' pen.), Kiltie (90+5')
Kennedy (9')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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