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Scottish Premiership
St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

St Mirren
0 - 1
Kilmarnock

FT(HT: 0-1)
Vassell (37')
Armstrong (70'), Dennis (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee 1-3 St Mirren
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Rangers 4-1 Kilmarnock
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-2 Kilmarnock

 Although both of these teams have been producing contrasting form of late, we still anticipate a competitive fixture. However, Kilmarnock are the favourites for a reason and they should have enough to edge this contest, perhaps by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
38.71% (-0.07 -0.07) 26.28% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 35.01% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (0.045000000000002 0.05)51.47% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (0.039000000000001 0.04)73.27% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.067999999999998 0.07)28.14% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (0.088000000000001 0.09)63.82% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 38.71%
    Kilmarnock 35.01%
    Draw 26.27%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.71%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.01%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Kilmarnock

St Mirren
35.3%
Draw
35.3%
Kilmarnock
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
5-2
St Mirren
Vassell (61', 73'), Armstrong (65' pen.), Watkins (68'), Watson (79')
Donnelly (63'), Kennedy (75'), Watson (86')
Dunne (20'), Mandron (39')
O'Hara (59')
> Preview
Dec 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock

Taylor (33'), Gogic (59'), Baccus (88')
Watkins (25')
Findlay (74'), Deas (86')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Kilmarnock
1-1
St Mirren
Lyons (19')
Cameron (45'), Watson (90+4')
Magennis (31' og.)
Baccus (55'), Strain (72'), Olusanya (85')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
St Mirren
0-2
Kilmarnock
Donnelly (18'), Doidge (35')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Kilmarnock
0-0
St Mirren
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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