Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
38.71% ( -0.07) | 26.28% ( -0.01) | 35.01% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 53.17% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.53% ( 0.05) | 51.47% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.72% ( 0.04) | 73.27% ( -0.04) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -0.02) | 26% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% ( -0.02) | 61.03% ( 0.02) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% ( 0.07) | 28.14% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.17% ( 0.09) | 63.82% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.71% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |