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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

St Mirren
0 - 1
Kilmarnock

FT(HT: 0-1)
Vassell (37')
Armstrong (70'), Dennis (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 1-3 St Mirren
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 4-1 Kilmarnock
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-2 Kilmarnock

Although both of these teams have been producing contrasting form of late, we still anticipate a competitive fixture. However, Kilmarnock are the favourites for a reason and they should have enough to edge this contest, perhaps by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
38.71% (-0.07 -0.07) 26.28% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 35.01% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (0.045000000000002 0.05)51.47% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (0.039000000000001 0.04)73.27% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.067999999999998 0.07)28.14% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (0.088000000000001 0.09)63.82% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 38.71%
    Kilmarnock 35.01%
    Draw 26.27%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.71%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.01%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Kilmarnock

St Mirren
35.3%
Draw
35.3%
Kilmarnock
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
5-2
St Mirren
Vassell (61', 73'), Armstrong (65' pen.), Watkins (68'), Watson (79')
Donnelly (63'), Kennedy (75'), Watson (86')
Dunne (20'), Mandron (39')
O'Hara (59')
Dec 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock

Taylor (33'), Gogic (59'), Baccus (88')
Watkins (25')
Findlay (74'), Deas (86')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Kilmarnock
1-1
St Mirren
Lyons (19')
Cameron (45'), Watson (90+4')
Magennis (31' og.)
Baccus (55'), Strain (72'), Olusanya (85')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
St Mirren
0-2
Kilmarnock
Donnelly (18'), Doidge (35')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic109102932628
2Aberdeen109102091128
3RangersRangers10613158719
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd114431513216
5Motherwell105141313016
6Dundee113351720-312
7St Mirren123361521-612
8Kilmarnock113351523-812
9Ross County122641018-812
10St Johnstone123181525-1010
11Hearts122371419-59
12Hibernian111551016-68


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