Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 70.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 11.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
70.78% ( -0.08) | 17.48% ( 0.06) | 11.74% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.77% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.87% ( -0.21) | 39.13% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.54% ( -0.22) | 61.46% ( 0.22) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.15% ( -0.07) | 9.85% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.32% ( -0.17) | 32.68% ( 0.17) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.32% ( -0.09) | 43.68% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.14% ( -0.08) | 79.86% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
2-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 70.77% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.48% | 0-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.24% Total : 11.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |