Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 14.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
66.6% ( -1.34) | 19.01% ( 0.55) | 14.39% ( 0.79) |
Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.19% ( -0.77) | 39.81% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.83% ( -0.81) | 62.16% ( 0.8) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.91% ( -0.56) | 11.09% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.53% ( -1.24) | 35.47% ( 1.24) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.94% ( 0.63) | 40.06% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.3% ( 0.58) | 76.7% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
2-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.6% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.01% | 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.76% Total : 14.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |