MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 09:08:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Celtic logo
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Dundee United
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock logo

Hearts
1 - 1
Kilmarnock

Vargas (10')
Kent (27'), Cochrane (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Watkins (67')
Armstrong (28'), Deas (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 3-1 Kilmarnock

With Shankland raring to get back to scoring ways following his two-game drought on international duty, we are expecting lots of goals for Hearts on Saturday. Kilmarnock have been impressive in recent matches, but we reckon that the hosts' quality will shine through at Tynecastle in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
49.14% (0.222 0.22) 23.62% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 27.25% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.42% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02% (0.085000000000001 0.09)42.98% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62% (0.085000000000001 0.09)65.38% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.119 0.12)17.63% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.206 0.21)48.23% (-0.207 -0.21)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)29.08% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (-0.104 -0.1)65% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 49.14%
    Kilmarnock 27.25%
    Draw 23.62%
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Hearts vs Kilmarnock

Hearts
72.0%
Draw
12.0%
Kilmarnock
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Kilmarnock
0-1
Hearts

Dennis (40'), Watson (68')
Dennis (18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
1-2
Hearts
Lyons (68')
Grant (40'), Lowry (90+2')
Grant (50'), Haring (60'), Nieuwenhof (88'), Sibbick (90+6')
Aug 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Hearts
0-0
Kilmarnock
Shankland (30'), Devlin (40'), Atkinson (55')
Armstrong (67'), Lyons (85'), McKenzie (90+3'), Donnelly (90+5')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
2-1
Hearts
Armstrong (22' pen.), Doidge (45')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Hearts
3-1
Kilmarnock
Ginnelly (19'), Shankland (29', 89' pen.)
Taylor (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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