Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
49.14% ( 0.22) | 23.62% ( -0.05) | 27.25% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.42% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.02% ( 0.09) | 42.98% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.62% ( 0.09) | 65.38% ( -0.08) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.37% ( 0.12) | 17.63% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.77% ( 0.21) | 48.23% ( -0.21) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.92% ( -0.08) | 29.08% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35% ( -0.1) | 65% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 49.14% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 27.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |