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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Hearts logo

St Johnstone
0 - 1
Hearts


Robinson (16'), Considine (52'), McGowan (75'), Jaiyesimi (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Shankland (54')
Vargas (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 2-3 Hearts
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 1-2 Hearts

St Johnstone have enjoyed a productive unbeaten run in the Premiership of late, but the visit of Hearts on Wednesday night will be the toughest test of 2024 to date. The Jambos have scored at least twice in their last six matches, and we expect that trend to continue here as Naismith's side record another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
21.96% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 24.74% (0.0030000000000001 0) 53.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.23% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (0.0049999999999955 0)52.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.26% (0.017000000000003 0.02)38.74% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.52% (0.014999999999997 0.01)75.48% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)19.64% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 21.96%
    Hearts 53.28%
    Draw 24.74%
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.57% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 3.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 21.96%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 12.38%
0-2 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-3 @ 5.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 5.19%
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 53.28%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Hearts

St Johnstone
10.3%
Draw
5.2%
Hearts
84.5%
58
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hearts
1-0
St Johnstone
Shankland (61')
Cochrane (77'), Vargas (88')

Phillips (40'), Gallacher (58')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
St Johnstone
0-2
Hearts

McClelland (17'), Phillips (29')
Oda (75'), Shankland (90+6')
Rowles (16'), Devlin (80'), Boyce (90+5')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Hearts
3-0
St Johnstone
Ginnelly (21', 63'), Grant (73')
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
St Johnstone
2-3
Hearts
May (55' pen.), Murphy (79')
Shankland (14' pen.), Forrest (33'), McKay (64')
Aug 28, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Hearts
3-2
St Johnstone
Rowles (25'), Boyce (31'), Shankland (81' pen.)
Carey (6'), Considine (54')
Murphy (15'), Phillips (45'), Crawford (66'), Considine (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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