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Potential new football header

Scottish Premiership
Dundee logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Hearts logo

Dundee
2 - 3
Hearts

McGhee (26'), Cameron (59')
Bakayoko (33'), Boateng (43'), McCowan (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forrest (55'), Shankland (79' pen., 87')
Naismith (34'), Cochrane (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 0-2 Hearts

 Results have been very varied between these two sides at Dens Park since Dundee's top-flight return in 2012, with the hosts 7-5 up in terms of wins in 13 meetings. However, with Hearts' current form, it is hard to look past the visitors repeating the feat of their success over Dundee last month to maintain that healthy lead in third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawHearts
26.19% (-0.211 -0.21) 23.29% (0.131 0.13) 50.52% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 58.59% (-0.651 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.68% (-0.773 -0.77)42.32% (0.77500000000001 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.28% (-0.779 -0.78)64.72% (0.779 0.78)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (-0.566 -0.57)29.52% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.695 -0.7)65.54% (0.697 0.7)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (-0.254 -0.25)16.86% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12% (-0.459 -0.46)46.88% (0.46 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 26.19%
    Hearts 50.53%
    Draw 23.28%
DundeeDrawHearts
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 26.19%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.229 0.23)
0-2 @ 7.89% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.68% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 50.53%

How you voted: Dundee vs Hearts

Dundee
19.2%
Draw
0.0%
Hearts
80.8%
26
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Hearts
3-2
Dundee
Nieuwenhof (57'), Lembikisa (74'), Oda (86')
Lembikisa (49')
McGhee (19'), Cameron (38')
McGhee (41'), Costelloe (45+4'), Bakayoko (60'), Dodgson (65'), Main (77'), Ashcroft (79')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Dundee
1-0
Hearts
McCowan (63')
Beck (39')

Oda (39')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
1-2
Dundee
Simms (21')
Sibbick (51' og.), Mullen (78')
Adam (40'), Rudden (66'), Byrne (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Dundee
0-1
Hearts

Anderson (47'), McGowan (54'), Griffiths (58'), Mullen (85')
Walker (75')
Walker (59'), Souttar (80')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Hearts
1-1
Dundee
Souttar (37')
Halkett (30'), Woodburn (34')
Cummings (83')
Legzdins (38'), Sweeney (53'), McGhee (59'), Adam (69'), Mullen (90+6')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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