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Celtic logo
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Dundee United
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
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Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hibs logo

Hearts
1 - 1
Hibernian

Shankland (45+2' pen.)
Devlin (60'), Vargas (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marcondes (28')
Bushiri (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 5-0 Hearts
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 2-1 Dundee
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 Hibernian

While the two sides experienced contrasting results at the weekend, Hearts are still in the stronger vein of form, have enjoyed a better season and boast more quality than their visitors, and with home advantage we can only envisage them making it back-to-back Edinburgh Derby wins on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
49.47% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01) 23.51%27.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.61% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.05% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)17.38% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.21% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)47.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)29.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)64.98% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 49.47%
    Hibernian 27.03%
    Draw 23.5%
HeartsDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 49.47%
1-1 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 27.03%

How you voted: Hearts vs Hibernian

Hearts
72.7%
Draw
15.2%
Hibernian
12.1%
66
Head to Head
Dec 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Hibernian
0-1
Hearts

Levitt (62'), Boyle (73')
Shankland (90+3')
Rowles (14'), Nieuwenhof (59'), Atkinson (88')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Hearts
2-2
Hibernian
Forrest (28'), Doidge (58' og.)
Shankland (5'), Devlin (8')
Youan (66', 68')
Fish (15')
May 27, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Hearts
1-1
Hibernian
Oda (8')
Hill (9'), Shankland (89'), Atkinson (90+4')
Cochrane (29')
Nisbet (31')
Johnson (10'), Doyle-Hayes (21'), Stevenson (24'), Cadden (63'), Campbell (90'), Devlin (90+4')
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 32
Hibernian
1-0
Hearts
Nisbet (67')
Jan 22, 2023 2pm
Fourth Round
Hibernian
0-3
Hearts
Ginnelly (10'), Shankland (72'), Sibbick (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic109102932628
2Aberdeen109102091128
3RangersRangers10613158719
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd114431513216
5Motherwell105141313016
6Dundee113351720-312
7St Mirren123361521-612
8Kilmarnock113351523-812
9Ross County122641018-812
10St Johnstone123181525-1010
11Hearts122371419-59
12Hibernian111551016-68


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