Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
1 - 2
Hearts

Olusanya (68')
Tanser (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Grant (33' pen.), Mandron (62' og.)
Tait (45+3'), Sibbick (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

With each team boasting a victory over the other already this season, either could realistically walk away with three points this weekend. However, the fact both are out of form could lead to them sharing the points as they try to get things back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Hearts
31.44% ( -0.86)	25.68% ( -0.06)	42.88% ( 0.93)

Both teams to score 54.14% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.22% (

-0.01)

49.78% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.22% (

-0.01)

71.78% (

0.01)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.4% (

-0.57)

29.6% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

-0.71)

65.63% (

0.71)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

0.45)

23.1% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.06% (

0.66)

56.94% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 31.44%

Hearts 42.87%

Draw 25.67%

St Mirren	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.44%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.87%