Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35

May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
2 - 2
Hearts

Shaughnessy (36'), Strain (45+4')
Taylor (23'), Kiltie (29')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ginnelly (73'), Shankland (90+6' pen.)
Rowles (17'), Naismith (18'), Devlin (44'), Atkinson (65'), Kiomourtzoglou (80')
Haring (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: Hibernian 2-1 St Mirren
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts 0-2 Celtic
Sunday, May 7 at 2.15pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

With each club losing in different circumstances last time out, it remains to be seen how they will react. A low-scoring draw does not necessarily suit either team, but, for us, it is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Hearts
36.45% ( 0.01)	26.47% ( -0)	37.07% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.81% (

52.19% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.1% (

73.9% (

-0)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

27.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84% (

0.01)

63.16% (

-0.01)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73% (

-0)

27.26% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3% (

-0)

62.7% (

Score Analysis

St Mirren 36.45%

Hearts 37.07%

Draw 26.47%

St Mirren	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.45%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.07%