Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
15.77% ( -0.01) | 19.93% ( 0.01) | 64.3% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.6% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.88% ( -0.04) | 41.12% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.48% ( -0.04) | 63.52% ( 0.04) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.97% ( -0.03) | 39.03% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.25% ( -0.03) | 75.75% ( 0.03) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.91% ( -0.01) | 12.09% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.37% ( -0.03) | 37.63% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.41% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 15.78% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.93% | 0-2 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 7.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.92% 1-4 @ 3.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 64.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |