Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 8.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.31%), while for a Hearts win it was 1-2 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
78.07% ( -0.59) | 13.65% ( 0.16) | 8.28% ( 0.42) |
Both teams to score 51.7% ( 1.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.95% ( 0.85) | 31.05% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.55% ( 0.99) | 52.44% ( -1) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.62% ( 0.06) | 6.37% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.08% ( 0.19) | 23.92% ( -0.19) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.22% ( 1.63) | 44.77% ( -1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.24% ( 1.28) | 80.75% ( -1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
2-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.43) 3-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.18) 5-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.13) 6-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.98% Total : 78.07% | 1-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.99% Total : 13.65% | 1-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.6% Total : 8.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |