Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Hibernian |
30.72% ( -0.16) | 25.12% ( -0) | 44.16% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 55.65% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.34% ( -0.05) | 47.66% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.14% ( -0.05) | 69.86% ( 0.05) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.97% ( -0.14) | 29.03% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.07% ( -0.17) | 64.93% ( 0.17) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( 0.05) | 21.59% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.32% ( 0.09) | 54.68% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.72% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |