Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Origovollurinn
Valur0 - 0St Mirren
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Valur Reykjavik and St Mirren.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vllaznia Shkoder 0-4 Valur
Thursday, July 18 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 18 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Carlisle
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valur Reykjavik win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valur Reykjavik win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valur Reykjavik | Draw | St Mirren |
49.33% ( 0.61) | 22.83% ( -0.16) | 27.84% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 61.7% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.13% ( 0.44) | 38.87% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.82% ( 0.46) | 61.18% ( -0.46) |
Valur Reykjavik Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.98% ( 0.38) | 16.02% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.64% ( 0.7) | 45.35% ( -0.69) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.47% ( -0.08) | 26.53% ( 0.08) |