Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Valur Reykjavik had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Valur Reykjavik win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.