Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.