Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.