Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
