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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Celtic Park
Kilmarnock logo

Celtic
4 - 0
Kilmarnock

Hatate (17'), Scales (40'), Kuhn (59'), Ralston (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Donnelly (70'), Lyons (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 1-4 Celtic
Saturday, July 27 at 9pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Celtic 3-1 Kilmarnock

Although Kilmarnock posed challenges to Celtic last season, the hosts have continued their excellent form through their pre-season friendlies. Additionally, Celtic's strong record in league openers should see them come into the game as clear favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 5.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 4-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawKilmarnock
83.4% (0.16000000000001 0.16) 10.97% (0.026 0.03) 5.63% (-0.1931 -0.19)
Both teams to score 47.71% (-1.667 -1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.69% (-1.231 -1.23)28.3% (1.223 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.88% (-1.536 -1.54)49.11% (1.529 1.53)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.1% (-0.2 -0.2)4.89% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.35% (-0.59599999999999 -0.6)19.65% (0.59 0.59)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.17% (-1.647 -1.65)49.83% (1.641 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.46% (-1.176 -1.18)84.54% (1.17 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 83.39%
    Kilmarnock 5.63%
    Draw 10.97%
CelticDrawKilmarnock
3-0 @ 11.16% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.51 0.51)
4-0 @ 8.42% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.78% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.433 0.43)
4-1 @ 5.87% (-0.156 -0.16)
5-0 @ 5.08% (0.037 0.04)
5-1 @ 3.54% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.168 -0.17)
6-0 @ 2.56% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.156 -0.16)
6-1 @ 1.78% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-2 @ 1.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
7-0 @ 1.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 83.39%
1-1 @ 5.12% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.69% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.44% (0.174 0.17)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 10.97%
1-2 @ 1.78% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 1.7% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 5.63%

How you voted: Celtic vs Kilmarnock

Celtic
88.9%
Draw
6.3%
Kilmarnock
4.8%
63
Head to Head
May 15, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 37
Kilmarnock
0-5
Celtic

Donnelly (30'), Deas (49')
Idah (5'), Maeda (12'), Forrest (35'), O'Riley (51', 71')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Celtic
1-1
Kilmarnock
Furuhashi (32')
Watson (90+2')
Donnelly (21'), Mayo (38'), Armstrong (73')
Dec 10, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 17
Kilmarnock
2-1
Celtic
Phillips (75' og.), Kennedy (87')
Lyons (41'), Deas (69'), Armstrong (79')
O'Riley (33')
Johnston (83')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Celtic
3-1
Kilmarnock
Hatate (22'), Palma (33'), Taylor (82')
Taylor (68'), Scales (76')
Watson (72')
Mayo (28'), Vassell (76')
Aug 20, 2023 3pm
Second Round
Kilmarnock
1-0
Celtic
Watkins (59')
Watkins (52'), Findlay (67'), Watson (77')

McGregor (50'), Ralston (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic109102932628
2Aberdeen109102091128
3RangersRangers10613158719
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd114431513216
5Motherwell105141313016
6Dundee113351720-312
7St Mirren123361521-612
8Kilmarnock113351523-812
9Ross County122641018-812
10St Johnstone123181525-1010
11Hearts122371419-59
12Hibernian111551016-68


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