MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 07:54:27| >> :600:2698338:2698338:
Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 7pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
Kilmarnock logo

Cercle Brugge
1 - 0
Kilmarnock

Somers (21')
Agyekum (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Findlay (49'), Vassell (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Cercle Brugge and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Westerlo 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, July 28 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, July 25 at 7.30pm in Europa League

We said: Cercle Brugge 2-0 Kilmarnock (Cercle Brugge win 3-1 on aggregate)

Back on a more familiar surface than Kilmarnock's artificial grass, Cercle Brugge should make their technical superiority count, sealing a place in the third qualifying round with victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cercle Brugge in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cercle Brugge.

Result
Cercle BruggeDrawKilmarnock
44.91% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 24.93% (-0.029 -0.03) 30.16% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 56% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.92% (0.129 0.13)47.07% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.68% (0.122 0.12)69.31% (-0.122 -0.12)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.061999999999998 0.06)21.01% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (0.096000000000004 0.1)53.78% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (0.073999999999998 0.07)29.1% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (0.089999999999996 0.09)65.03% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cercle Brugge 44.91%
    Kilmarnock 30.16%
    Draw 24.92%
Cercle BruggeDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.91%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.16%

How you voted: Cercle Brugge vs Kilmarnock

Cercle Brugge
66.7%
Draw
14.5%
Kilmarnock
18.8%
69
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2024 7.30pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Kilmarnock
1-1
Cercle Brugge
Watson (70')
Lyons (66')
Olaigbe (55')
Somers (85')
rhs 2.0
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