Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock1 - 1Cercle Brugge
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-0 Barrow
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Cercle Brugge
Saturday, July 20 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 20 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Cercle Brugge
Both teams will fancy their chances of coming out on top in this first-leg tie, particularly Kilmarnock on home soil, but we expect a somewhat cagey affair to take place on Thursday which could lead to a share of the spoils, keeping the tie finely poised ahead of the reverse fixture next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
33.81% ( -3.71) | 25.12% ( -0.11) | 41.08% ( 3.82) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
